Obama Has 15-Point Lead as Voters Reject Republicans (Update1)

Democrat Barack Obama have opened a
15-point Pb in the presidential race, and most of the political
trends -- elector enthusiasm, positions of President ,
the Republicans, the economic system and the way of the state --
point to even greater problem for competing .

Illinois Senator Obama, winning support from once skeptical
women and Democrats, beats out McCain 48 percentage to 33 percentage in a
four-way race, a Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times opinion poll shows. Mugwump campaigners and acquire 7 percent
combined, with the residual undecided.

Obama's border and most of the poll's determinations in other
areas give the Democrats a ranking advantage more than four
months before the November election, states , the Los
Angeles Times polling director.

''The Obama electors are much more than energized and motivated to
come out to vote than the McCain voters; McCain is still
struggling to win over some of his core groups,'' she says. ''The
good news for Obama is also that he looks to be doing better on
the issue that is uppermost in voters' minds, and that is the
economy.''

Two-Way Race

The opinion poll shows that the third-party candidacies of Barr and
Nader, who political experts state likely volition be on the ballot in
most states, are hurting Grand Canyon State Senator McCain slightly more
than Obama. In a two-way race, Obama's Pb over the presumptive
Republican campaigner contracts to 12 points.

Voters go on to see McCain, 71, as the more than experienced
candidate and trust him to struggle the warfare on terror. Obama, 46,
has the border on most other matters, according to the opinion poll of
1,115 registered voters, taken June 19 to 23. The study have a
margin of sampling mistake of asset or subtraction 3 per centum points.

Voters give Obama a 3-to-2 advantage on handling the economy
and prefer his health-care and taxation plans. They also state he is the
candidate who cares most about norm Americans and is most
likely to change American Capital and construct regard for the U.S.
abroad.

McCain's broader challenge is underscored by a depressed
mood about the way of the country, with just 13 percentage of
voters saying the state is on the right track. Two summertimes ago,
before the large Democratic wins in the midterm elections, that
figure was 30 percent. In this week's survey, more than than one-half of
all electors state McCain would go on Bush's policies. Bush's
approval evaluation stand ups at 23 percent, near historical lows.

At a fundraiser yesterday in Newport Beach, California,
McCain said he relished his second-place status.

''We are behind, we are the underdog,'' McCain says. ''That's what I like to be.''

Offshore Drilling

One bright topographic point for McCain, who recently abandoned his
opposition to offshore boring for oil and natural gas, is a
high degree of support for more than drilling.

Obama is consolidative the traditional Democratic alkali after the
divisive Democratic nomination conflict with New House Of York Senator
. Women, who were Clinton's most loyal backers,
now prefer Obama by a 54-to-29 percentage border and Democrats give
him more than than 80 percentage support. Obama also have a flimsy lead
over McCain among male voters. White Person voters, who in the past have
tended to prefer Republicans, are divide between the two candidates
in the four-way race.

While Obama still confronts a perceptual experience that he is naïve and
inexperienced, Democrats are much more than excited about their
candidate than Republicans. Eighty-one percentage of Obama
supporters state they are enthusiastic about him, compared with 45
percent of McCain protagonists who state the same about the
Republican candidate.

Independents

The opinion poll shows that Obama necessitates to make more than to sway
independents, who may turn out critical in November. McCain leads
Obama 36 percentage to 33 percentage among mugwumps in a four-way
race. In a two-way competition, Obama loses to McCain by 8
points.

Young electors go on to be Obama's most loyal support
group, while aged electors are the lone grouping where McCain is
competitive.

Almost half of all electors state the economy, more than than any
other issue, is the most of import precedence for the campaigners to
address in this election; and they prefer Obama by a 49-to-28
percent border to manage the issue.

That's a reversal from a February Bloomberg/Times opinion poll that
showed McCain whipping Obama by 8 points on the economy.

''I'm very concerned about the economy, I'm very concerned
about wellness attention and I'm very concerned about housing,'' says
Democratic opinion poll respondent Adele Veronica Hamilton, a 68-year-old
retired instructor from Live Oak, California. ''McCain is simply a
continuation of the Republican nonsensicality of Bush.''

Changing American Capital

Voters also give Obama a broad Pb when it come ups to which
candidate cares more than about people like them. He have an even
bigger advantage over McCain on who will most change Washington.

Yet there was some positive news for McCain in the poll. More than one-half of all electors hold with McCain's support for
opening up more than land for oil and gas drilling. Fifty-seven
percent of electors state they believe boring can be done safely
and should be allowed in environmentally of import countries with
proper controls in place.

McCain also goes on to predominate when it come ups to the
questions of who have the right experience to take the state and
on national security. He is ahead of Obama by 17 points on who is
best equipped to turn to the terrorist threat.

John Dambrosio, a 57-year-old physician from Westchester,
New York, who back ups McCain, states he watched the World Trade
Center towers collapse on Sept. 11. ''From that minute on, we've
been safe,'' he says. ''I don't believe the Democrats are hard-line
enough.''

Iraq War

On the war, McCain have for the first clip lost his
advantage, according to the poll, even though there are reports
that the state of affairs in Republic Of Iraq is improving. Voters are divide on who
would better pull off the conflict, with two-thirds expression the U.S.
should retreat immediately or within a year, and only about one-
third saying military personnel should remain ''as long as it takes,'' the
position adopted by McCain. In the February survey, McCain led
Obama on Republic Of Iraq by 13 per centum points.

The opinion poll shows McCain may have got the most difficulty
overcoming voters' feelings toward the Republican Party.

Just 29 percentage of electors state they have got got a positive position of
the party, compared with 51 percentage who state the same about the
Democrats; just 24 percentage of electors state they have a positive
feeling about Bush. Their feelings about McCain are much more
positive, at 47 percent; Obama had 59 percent.

On an optimistic short letter for both candidates, neither race nor
age emerges as a important factor.

Obama's Experience

The country where Obama must work to turn to elector concerns is
experience. Almost half of all electors agreed with the statement
that Obama is too naïve and inexperienced for the occupation of
president. That includes 54 percentage of independents. An even
higher figure of voters, 56 percent, state they see Obama at
least somewhat liberal.

At the same time, McCain is struggling with traditional
Republican alkali voters. Fifty-one percent of those who identify
themselves as members of the spiritual right state they aren't
enthusiastic about vote for McCain. That could ache him in the
South, the lone part where McCain have a bare Pb over Obama.

Democrats look tepid about the prospect of as Obama's running play mate, with 36 percentage saying that
would be a good idea, though her overall positive evaluation is 49
percent. Surprisingly, former President , whose
approval evaluations dropped after he was criticized for his comments
during the primary, makes slightly better, with 52 percentage of
voters saying they have got a positive feeling toward him.

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